
Click here to read the full report.
Capital Management & Capital Deepening
Crypto markets saw high volatility, driven by both macro and idiosyncratic factors. From mid-June, Bitcoin and Ethereum declined by up to 14% and 17%, respectively, before recovering towards their recent peaks. Gold also saw a drawdown of around 9% in the same period, underscoring similar macro factors at work. In contrast, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq recorded more modest declines of 2% and 4% respectively. The sharp correction in cryptocurrencies and gold seems correlated with reduced worries about “debasement” risks, after new Fed Chair Warsh underscored a unanimous commitment to price stability under his leadership.
An idiosyncratic factor for markets is the announcement of an active balance sheet management plan by a major Digital Asset Treasury Company (DATCO), Strategy. The company authorised a Bitcoin monetisation programme, which allows it to sell up to USD1.25 billion of Bitcoins to shore up its USD reserves. Furthermore, it unveiled a share buyback programme of up to USD2 billion, split evenly between preferred and common stock. In short, Strategy can now sell Bitcoin to fund share buybacks, dividends, interest expenses, or replenish its USD reserves. This adds complexity to its capital management mandate to raise capital for Bitcoin purchases. Management has indicated that Bitcoin sales would only be pursued when they are more advantageous than share issuance or other capital markets transactions.
A US discount broker announced that it is launching its own Layer-2 blockchain compatible with Ethereum, which will be utilized for its tokenized equity and commodity perps trading business. It describes its chain as AI-native, purpose-built for real-world assets, and permissionless. Anyone could deploy contracts on-chain, while users can also interact with self-custody wallets independently. Tokenized capital markets are set to grow deeper.
Click here to read the full report
Subscribe here to receive our economics & macro strategy materials.
To unsubscribe, please click here.
GENERAL DISCLOSURE/ DISCLAIMER (For Macroeconomics, Currencies, Interest Rates, Digital Assets or Commodities)[1]
The information herein is published by DBS Bank Ltd and/or DBS Bank (Hong Kong) Limited (each and/or collectively, the “Company”). It is based on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but the Company does not make any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to its accuracy, completeness, timeliness or correctness for any particular purpose. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. This research is prepared for general circulation. Any recommendation contained herein does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and the particular needs of any specific addressee. The information herein is published for the information of addressees only and is not to be taken in substitution for the exercise of judgement by addressees, who should obtain separate legal or financial advice. The Company, or any of its related companies or any individuals connected with the group accepts no liability for any direct, special, indirect, consequential, incidental damages or any other loss or damages of any kind arising from any use of the information herein (including any error, omission or misstatement herein, negligent or otherwise) or further communication thereof, even if the Company or any other person has been advised of the possibility thereof. The information herein is not to be construed as an offer or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities, futures, options or other financial instruments or to provide any investment advice or services. The Company and its associates, their directors, officers and/or employees may have positions or other interests in, and may effect transactions in securities mentioned herein and may also perform or seek to perform broking, investment banking and other banking or financial services for these companies. The information herein is not directed to, or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity that is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country, or other jurisdiction (including but not limited to citizens or residents of the United States of America) where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law or regulation. The information is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction (including but not limited to the United States of America) where such an offer or solicitation would be contrary to law or regulation.
[#for Distribution in Singapore] This report is distributed in Singapore by DBS Bank Ltd (Company Regn. No. 196800306E) which is Exempt Financial Advisers as defined in the Financial Advisers Act and regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore. DBS Bank Ltd may distribute reports produced by its respective foreign entities, affiliates or other foreign research houses pursuant to an arrangement under Regulation 32C of the Financial Advisers Regulations. Where the report is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, DBS Bank Ltd accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore recipients should contact DBS Bank Ltd at 65-6878-8888 for matters arising from, or in connection with the report.
DBS Bank Ltd., 12 Marina Boulevard, Marina Bay Financial Centre Tower 3, Singapore 018982. Tel: 65-6878-8888. Company Registration No. 196800306E.
DBS Bank Ltd., Hong Kong Branch, a company incorporated in Singapore with limited liability. 18th Floor, The Center, 99 Queen’s Road Central, Central, Hong Kong SAR.
DBS Bank (Hong Kong) Limited, a company incorporated in Hong Kong with limited liability. 11th Floor, The Center, 99 Queen’s Road Central, Central, Hong Kong SAR.
[1] This disclaimer may not apply if the applicable assets fall within the definition of 'financial instruments' that are set out in Article 2(1) EU MAR (e.g. financial instruments that are traded on a regulated market, MTF or OTF, etc.). Section C of Annex I of MiFID2 specifies these 'financial instruments'.